Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.036718 0.039975 0.043255 0.046799 0.050514 0.054288 0.058404
2025-11-09 0.031013 0.035784 0.040751 0.046283 0.052249 0.058469 0.065420
2025-11-16 0.026780 0.032609 0.038862 0.046013 0.053912 0.062322 0.071903
2025-11-23 0.024467 0.031222 0.038657 0.047347 0.057133 0.067725 0.079971
2025-11-30 0.022445 0.029927 0.038359 0.048409 0.059917 0.072549 0.087335
2025-12-07 0.020530 0.028561 0.037817 0.049051 0.062112 0.076630 0.093807
2025-12-14 0.018614 0.027023 0.036934 0.049174 0.063608 0.079841 0.099236
2025-12-21 0.017493 0.026353 0.036994 0.050330 0.066241 0.084303 0.106055
2025-12-28 0.015545 0.024499 0.035502 0.049528 0.066491 0.085954 0.109600
2026-01-04 0.014292 0.023442 0.034913 0.049750 0.067896 0.088901 0.114604
2026-01-11 0.013380 0.022766 0.034745 0.050440 0.069827 0.092437 0.120274
2026-01-18 0.012516 0.022091 0.034529 0.051030 0.071604 0.095771 0.125696
2026-01-25 0.010760 0.020087 0.032531 0.049344 0.070593 0.095808 0.127284
2026-02-01 0.009630 0.018890 0.031532 0.048880 0.071053 0.097583 0.130917
2026-02-08 0.008679 0.017883 0.030737 0.048634 0.071750 0.099624 0.134856
2026-02-15 0.008362 0.017810 0.031202 0.050030 0.074512 0.104176 0.141814
2026-02-22 0.007976 0.017600 0.031458 0.051135 0.076900 0.108274 0.148234
2026-03-01 0.007484 0.017185 0.031400 0.051803 0.078718 0.111668 0.153807
2026-03-08 0.006872 0.016527 0.030961 0.051931 0.079825 0.114174 0.158297
2026-03-15 0.006606 0.016425 0.031314 0.053127 0.082307 0.118385 0.164870
2026-03-22 0.005819 0.015368 0.030218 0.052299 0.082130 0.119267 0.167364
2026-03-29 0.005364 0.014854 0.029902 0.052528 0.083320 0.121847 0.171932
2026-04-05 0.005059 0.014587 0.029942 0.053242 0.085140 0.125214 0.177469